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Logic / Unit 7   Logic 345 short lesson, about 20 seconds

Conjunction: Independent Events

Captions available

The idea

For independent events, P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).

In practice

Two fair coins, two heads: ½ × ½ = ¼.

Where people slip

Independent is the license. Multiplying dependent probabilities as if independent is the calculus's most consequential misuse — courtrooms included.

Your place on the trail

Every lesson rests on earlier ones and opens later ones. Tap any to jump.

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