Correcting for Confirmation Bias
This video presents the same text shown beside it, spoken and on screen. It adds nothing the text does not say.
State
Confirmation bias is corrected by specifying in advance what evidence would count against the belief, before that evidence is collected.
Show
A manager writes down, before the review period, which three outcomes would show the hire was a good one.
Watch for
Resolving to be fair does not work. The disconfirming evidence has to be named while the belief is still open.
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- Nothing yet depends on this.