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"Half of All Marriages End in Divorce"

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The claim that half of all marriages end in divorce comes from dividing one year's divorce count by that year's marriage count — two unrelated statistics.

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Tracking actual marriages to their outcome, rather than comparing two separate yearly counts, yields a lower rate by Soc 1309's method.

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This is a standing statistical misreading, not a settled finding about half of all marriages.

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