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Philosophy / Unit 1   Philosophy 0022 short lesson, about 20 seconds

Strong and Weak Induction

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The idea

An inductive argument is strong when true premises would make its conclusion probable, and weak when they would not. Strength comes in degrees.

In practice

"Ninety-six percent of a thousand sampled batteries passed, so this one will" is strong. "My cousin's battery died" is weak.

Where people slip

Even a strong argument's conclusion can turn out false. Probability is not a promise.

Your place on the trail

Every lesson rests on earlier ones and opens later ones. Tap any to jump.

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