Logic / Unit 7 Logic 354 short lesson, about 20 seconds
Regression to the Mean
Captions available
The idea
Extreme outcomes are typically followed by less extreme ones, because extremes are part luck — and luck doesn't repeat on schedule.
In practice
Blistering rookie season, ordinary sophomore season. No curse; just the mean reasserting itself.
Where people slip
Regression manufactures illusions of causation: scold after a bad performance, and improvement follows anyway. Punishment gets credit the arithmetic earned.
Your place on the trail
Every lesson rests on earlier ones and opens later ones. Tap any to jump.
Builds on
Unlocks
- Nothing yet depends on this.
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