The Independence Flag
This video presents the same text shown beside it, spoken and on screen. It adds nothing the text does not say.
State
Multiplying chances assumes independence: the second event keeps its chance whatever the first did — fine when a ferry ignores a bicycle, false when events are connected.
Show
Rain and umbrella-carrying are connected; multiplying their overall rates misprices mornings badly.
Watch for
Every casual multiplication of chances carries this flag, checked or unchecked — check it.
Builds on
Unlocks
- Nothing yet depends on this.