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Artificial Intelligence / Unit 1   AI 0014 short lesson, about 20 seconds

The Overreach Pattern

Captions available

The idea

The field's signature failure is a correct long-range vision priced at a wildly optimistic timeline.

In practice

The Dartmouth proposal expected significant progress from ten people in one summer; it got a seventy-year research program.

Where people slip

When you hear a confident five-year AI timeline, you are hearing the genre that has been wrong in both directions for seventy years.

Your place on the trail

Every lesson rests on earlier ones and opens later ones. Tap any to jump.

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